Douglas B. Reynolds | |
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Books by Dr. Reynolds
Alaska and North Slope Natural Gas: Development Issues, U.S. and Canadian Implications "a perfect energy storm is coming involving natural gas, oil, and conventional energy resources" Scarcity and Growth Considering Oil and Energy: An Alternative Neo-Classical View, available from Amazon.com. Oil has been shaping international relations and economics for over a hundred years. But the most volatile changes in markets and politics are yet to come and it will affect Alaska. This book explains why oil scarcity is close at hand, how OPEC works in a game theoretic and political manner, and why the Soviet Union collapsed. If ever a book explained the most important aspects of oil markets and politics, this is it. Articles by Dr. Reynolds
Energy Grades and Historic Economic Growth
The Mineral Economy: How Prices and Costs Can Falsely Signal Decreasing Scarcity
Soviet Economic Decline: Did an Oil Crisis Cause the Transition in the Soviet Union? "We believe it is no coincidence that Soviet oil production declined by 30% from 1988 to 1992, BP (1996), precisely during the time when the break up and capitalist transformation was occurring. Furthermore since 1992, Russian oil production has declined an additional 20% or more and during that time Russia's recession has worsened. Most analysts see cause and effect during the Soviet transition as being one of the transition of the economy causing the oil production decline. We however believe it is the opposite. It was the oil production decline that caused the final break down of the Soviet economy..."
Bio Dr. Douglas B. Reynolds received his Ph.D. from the University of New Mexico, USA. He taught and researched energy economics for two years in the Republic of Kazakstan in the former Soviet Union, at the Kazakstan Institute of Management, Economics and Strategic Research (KIMEP). He is presently an assistant professor of economics at the University of Alaska Fairbanks. His research interests include oil production and energy economics. Some of his papers include an explanation of how one energy resource can subsidize the cost of an alternative energy resource and how an energy theory of value can be approximated by defining energy grades for energy resources. Dr. Reynolds has many published papers including Energy Grades and Historic Economic Growth, and The Mineral Economy. Other papers explain about the fall of the Soviet Union which was mostly caused by an oil shortage, about different energy alternatives and how their physical properties make them poor substitutes for oil, and about when the next oil price shock will occur using demand trends and a modified Hubbert curve. He believes the next oil price shock will hit before 2005. Oil prices will go as high as $100 per barrel or more with out warning due to the "mineral economy" characteristics of the world's economy. |
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